SZC

The State Bank of Vietnam's Circular 4551 excludes incremental loans for social housing and industrial parks from real estate credit growth limits, effectively channeling capital to these priority sectors. Industrial park developers like KBC, IDI, SZC, BCM, and VGC are direct beneficiaries, with VGC also gaining from its social housing exposure.

One year after the April 2025 tariff shock, over 40% of monitored industrial zone stocks remain below pre-shock prices. NTC (-34.82%), MH3 (-34%), and SZC (-28.38%) are among the hardest hit, while TAL (+67.3%), TIX (+20%), and KBC (+18.81%) have outperformed. The sector's recovery is highly uneven, with FDI inflows rising but not yet lifting all names.

Chuong Duong Beverage (SZC) warns it may exhaust operating cash by year-end after five consecutive years of losses, projecting a 2024 net loss of VND 74 billion despite targeting 50% revenue growth. To address the crisis, management proposes selling its beverage factory and Saxi brand to F&N Ventures for VND 93 billion, aiming to pivot the company's core business toward real estate development.

Thuduc House (TDH) targets 2026 net profit of VND 38.5B, down 64% year-on-year, while DIC Corp (DIG) expects revenue to fall 37% and Sonadezi Chau Duc (SZC) projects an 84% profit drop. The coordinated guidance cuts reflect persistent challenges in Vietnam's real estate sector, despite continued capital expenditure plans.

Thuduc House (TDH) projects a 64% drop in 2026 net profit to VND 38.5B, while DIC Corp (DIG) expects a 27% decline in pre-tax profit to VND 600B, as part of a broader trend among listed real estate firms. This coordinated guidance cut reflects persistent sector headwinds despite ongoing project investment, with Sonadezi Châu Đức (SZC) planning the steepest profit reduction at 84%.