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SSI earnings miss Impact 8.4/10

SSI Securities Q3/2026 Profit Falls 24% to VND 1,388B Despite 9-Month Growth

This Aveluro analysis covers SSI on HOSE in the Financial Services sector. The classified event type is earnings miss, with mixed sentiment and a deterministic market-impact score of 8.4/10. Source coverage came from CafeF - Thị trường chứng khoán, classified as a primary/top-tier source.

Event
Earnings Miss
Sentiment
Mixed
Time horizon
Short Term
Credibility
Primary/top-tier source
Published
Impact score
8.4/10
Price context
19,950 VND
Revenue growth
+5.0%
Profit growth
-24.0%
Affected
SSI

Caveat: Not investment advice. · How Aveluro computed this: Aveluro combines extracted event facts, source credibility, ticker context, and market data. Scores are deterministic research signals, not recommendations.

The Takeaway SSI Securities (HOSE) estimates Q3/2026 pre-tax profit of VND 1,388B, down 24% year-on-year, on revenue of VND 3,219B. Nine-month pre-tax profit still rose 11% to VND 4,510B, reaching 77% of the full-year target, with margin lending and a bond-heavy investment book underpinning the franchise.
Source: Hé lộ lợi nhuận Chứng khoán SSI trong quý 3/2026 · CafeF - Thị trường chứng khoán · Source tier: Primary/top-tier source

Overview

SSI Securities (HOSE: SSI) estimates Q3/2026 revenue of VND 3,219 billion and pre-tax profit of VND 1,388 billion, a 24% decline from the same quarter last year, according to company estimates reported by Việt Nam Hàng Ngày. The quarterly drop contrasts with a stronger nine-month picture, in which consolidated pre-tax profit rose 11% to VND 4,510 billion, equal to 77% of the annual plan.

Key Facts

  • Q3/2026 estimated revenue: VND 3,219 billion; estimated pre-tax profit: VND 1,388 billion, down 24% year-on-year.
  • Nine-month 2026 consolidated revenue: VND 9,871 billion, up 5% year-on-year.
  • Nine-month 2026 consolidated pre-tax profit: VND 4,510 billion, up 11% year-on-year, completing 77% of the annual profit plan.
  • Total parent-company assets at 30 September 2026: VND 92,441 billion; equity: VND 38,057 billion.
  • Q3 brokerage market share on HOSE: 11.09% across stocks, fund certificates and covered warrants; brokerage and advisory revenue: VND 382 billion.
  • Margin lending revenue: VND 1,115 billion, up 11% year-on-year; margin loans and sale-proceeds advances: VND 38,294 billion at quarter-end.
  • Investment revenue: VND 1,414 billion, about 46% of quarterly revenue, with bonds and certificates of deposit near 98% of the FVTPL portfolio; capital activities posted VND 83 billion pre-tax profit, up 33%.

What Happened

SSI disclosed the estimates in a quarterly business update, stating that for the first nine months of 2026 it expects consolidated revenue of VND 9,871 billion and consolidated pre-tax profit of VND 4,510 billion, up 5% and 11% respectively year-on-year. The company said this completes 77% of its full-year profit plan. Backing out the nine-month figures implies Q3 revenue of VND 3,219 billion and pre-tax profit of VND 1,388 billion, a 24% year-on-year decline.

The company reported parent-company total assets of VND 92,441 billion and equity of VND 38,057 billion as of 30 September 2026, describing the balance sheet as a platform for expanding client service and business lines. In Q3, SSI held an 11.09% share of HOSE trading in stocks, fund certificates and covered warrants. Margin lending generated VND 1,115 billion of revenue, up 11%, with loans and sale-proceeds advances at VND 38,294 billion. Investment revenue of VND 1,414 billion contributed roughly 46% of quarterly revenue, with the FVTPL book kept conservative at nearly 98% bonds and certificates of deposit. SSI also cited its institutional-client franchise, particularly around the FTSE Russell upgrade newsflow. The update does not disclose a full quarterly income statement or the drivers of the year-on-year profit decline.

Market Context

SSI is the largest listed securities firm on HOSE, and its shares closed at VND 19,950 on 20 October 2026. The securities sector is highly sensitive to market turnover, margin balances and proprietary investment returns, so a 24% quarterly profit decline points to a softer Q3 trading environment or lower investment gains rather than a collapse in the franchise. The nine-month trajectory, with profit up 11% and 77% of plan achieved, keeps the full-year target within reach but leaves little room for a weak fourth quarter.

Strategic Significance

The composition of SSI’s revenue matters more than the headline miss. Margin lending revenue rose 11% on a loan book of VND 38,294 billion, and investment income, dominated by bonds and certificates of deposit, supplied 46% of quarterly revenue. That mix makes earnings sensitive to interest-rate spreads and market liquidity rather than purely to brokerage volumes. The 11.09% HOSE market share and the institutional franchise position SSI to capture flows tied to Vietnam’s anticipated FTSE Russell reclassification, but the Q3 decline shows that index-related optimism does not immediately translate into profit growth.

What to Watch

  • The full Q3/2026 financial statements, which should break out proprietary trading gains and losses behind the 24% profit decline.
  • Q4/2026 margin balances and any change in the VND 38,294 billion loan book as market turnover evolves.
  • Interest-rate and funding-cost trends affecting the bond-heavy FVTPL portfolio and capital-activities profit.
  • HOSE market-share rankings for Q4/2026 to confirm SSI holds its roughly 11% position.
  • Progress toward the remaining 23% of the 2026 profit plan, and any FTSE Russell-related institutional flow data.

Information provided for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data sourced from public Vietnamese market feeds.

Last updated: 2026-10-20T11:17:34.851349+00:00.